Memorial Day weekend could be sweaty, oppressive, forecasters say


Forecast calls for a high of 94 on Saturday, with the heat index reaching 104.

The second half of Memorial Day weekend could see thunderstorms, showers.

Forecasts call for a high of 94 on Friday in Austin, but the heat index could be pushing 103.

The anticipated heat will border on being dangerously hot, so watch for symptoms of heat exhaustion.

Friday’s expected high temperature: 94 degrees.

Feels like: the armpit of a sumo wrestler after a particularly grueling match.

OK, forecasters won’t put it quite in those terms. But get ready for muggy weather — a slightly less awful version of the special grossness that tends to land Houston near the top of the lists of America’s sweatiest cities.

National Weather Service forecasts call for a high of 94 on Friday in Austin. But the heat index, which also factors in the humidity, could be pushing 103 degrees and reach as high as 108 in Central Texas over the weekend, according to the Weather Service.

Humidity, in this case from the Gulf Coast, makes everything feel hotter because evaporation is not as effective in damp air. As a result, the body cannot cool down as easily through evaporating sweat.

The anticipated heat will border on being dangerously hot, according to the weather service. So anyone venturing outside for extended periods should be sure to bring a hat, sunglasses, sunblock, maybe ice, possibly an umbrella or tarp and plenty of liquids. Watch for symptoms of heat exhaustion, such as dizziness, nausea and fainting.

Also, be extra careful not to leave children or pets unattended in the back seat of a car. Even when it’s just 80 degrees outside, temperatures inside a car can rise to deadly triple-digit temperatures within 15 minutes.

Anyone interested in observing Austin’s sacred Memorial Day weekend traditions of tubing on the Guadalupe River or boating on Lake Travis should do so Saturday, just to be on the safe side. If the forecast holds — no sure thing, particularly in the past two months when storm systems rarely lived up to the warnings — showers and thunderstorms could arrive by Sunday afternoon. That could mean lightning, which you should avoid if you’re outdoors. (There is a reason Florida, with its near-daily opportunities to combine afternoon thunderstorms with boating and other fun outdoor activities, tends to lead the nation in annual lightning-related deaths by a wide margin.)

The back end of the Memorial Day weekend in Central Texas also could be wet, with a 60 percent chance of showers Sunday night before diminishing to 30 percent on Monday.

Those odds suggest Austin will see rainfall, with the question simply a matter of where, exactly. Weather service forecasts are calling for two-day rainfall totals of no more than 1.5 inches across Central Texas.

Longer-term forecasts suggest the trend could continue into next week.

“The combination of a stalled-out cold front, abundant Gulf moisture and a series of weak atmospheric disturbances is expected to cause a 50-60 percent chance for rain Sunday through next Tuesday,” Lower Colorado River Authority meteorologist Bob Rose wrote in his weather blog.


The Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1, and you can expect a more active season, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The official NOAA hurricane forecast, released Thursday, calls for five to nine hurricanes to form between June 1 and Nov. 30. The season should produce a total of 11 to 17 named storms. Those numbers include Tropical Storm Arlene, which formed unusually early in April.

The average hurricane season has 12 named storms, six of which become hurricanes, and three of which become major ones. The 2016 season was the most active since 2012, which had 15 named storms, including 7 hurricanes and 4 major ones.

The hurricane forecast calls for a 45 percent chance of an above-normal season, a 35 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 20 percent chance of a below-normal season.

As to one of the key questions – whether a hurricane will devastate any coastal communities – the forecast is silent. After all, as a wise man once said, predictions are difficult, especially about the future.


Get the latest breaking weather news, radar, and more from the source you trust. The Austin American-Statesman brings you the most accurate local weather app, focusing on complete Central Texas Weather Coverage. Statesman Weather is available for free on iPhone, iPad and Android.

Reader Comments ...

Next Up in Local

Deputies looking for man who exposed himself at Leander park
Deputies looking for man who exposed himself at Leander park

Williamson County sheriff’s deputies are looking for a man who exposed himself to a woman in a park in Leander on Wednesday. The woman was walking her dog in Leander Regional Park when the man ran or walked up to her and exposed himself and then touched himself, said Patricia Gutierrez, a sheriff’s spokeswoman. READ: Suspect arrested after...
4 Michigan city council members take knee during Pledge of Allegiance
4 Michigan city council members take knee during Pledge of Allegiance

Four members of the 11-member city council in Ann Arbor, Michigan, took a knee during the Pledge of Allegiance before Monday night’s meeting, MLive reported. Sumi Kailasapathy, a third-term council member, took a page out of NFL players’ playbooks and decided to make a statement protesting social injustice. Kailasapathy asked several...
School bus, motorcycle collide in East Austin; no injuries reported
School bus, motorcycle collide in East Austin; no injuries reported

An Austin school district bus and a motorcycle collided early Friday but no one was injured, Austin police said.  The collision took place on the 900 block of Springdale Road near Bolm Road shortly before 7:30 a.m. and was quickly cleared.  Austin ISD said no students were on the bus.
UPDATE: Showers developing over Marble Falls, west of Lakeway
UPDATE: Showers developing over Marble Falls, west of Lakeway

10:10 a.m. update: Doppler radar indicates some showers falling around Marble Falls and western Travis County. The Austin metro area faces a 40 percent chance of rain, the National Weather Service says, under mostly cloudy skies on Friday. Rain chances will continue into the night, forecasters say. Friday forecast for Austin: It will...
Jeff Sessions to discuss immigration priorities in Austin
Jeff Sessions to discuss immigration priorities in Austin

U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions will be in Austin on Friday to discuss President Donald Trump’s immigration priorities, according to the Justice Department. Sessions will hold a roundtable discussion with state and local law enforcement officials, receive a federal crime briefing and meet with U.S. attorney’s office staff, a Justice...
More Stories